All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Harrier Invitational |
Mt. Vernon Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Nike Twilight |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
10/5 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
476 | |
411 |
407 |
471 |
424 |
534 |
506 |
486 |
430 |
451 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
411 |
407 |
471 |
424 |
453 |
506 |
486 |
430 |
451 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Harrier Invitational |
Mt. Vernon Invitational |
Harrison Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Nike Twilight |
Bedford North Lawr. Sectional |
Mater Dei Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 73 |
Chase Norris |
9 |
16:21 |
|
16:26 |
16:30 |
16:30 |
16:34 |
|
16:52 |
16:32 |
16:18 |
16:13 |
16:40 |
| 284 |
Marshall Caldwell |
12 |
17:08 |
17:54 |
17:14 |
17:14 |
17:06 |
17:08 |
17:10 |
17:10 |
17:08 |
16:56 |
17:03 |
|
| 390 |
Matt Stein |
12 |
17:24 |
17:59 |
18:41 |
17:03 |
17:35 |
17:05 |
18:15 |
18:15 |
17:26 |
17:15 |
17:15 |
|
| 415 |
Luke Reinhart |
10 |
17:28 |
17:26 |
16:59 |
17:09 |
17:07 |
17:17 |
17:13 |
17:28 |
17:34 |
18:03 |
17:44 |
|
| 436 |
Roman Ross |
12 |
17:30 |
17:44 |
17:27 |
|
18:27 |
17:17 |
17:27 |
17:37 |
17:30 |
17:22 |
17:26 |
|
| 452 |
Isaiah Dilger |
10 |
17:33 |
18:05 |
17:41 |
17:39 |
17:48 |
17:19 |
|
17:28 |
17:30 |
17:25 |
17:35 |
|
| 521 |
Garrett Pitkin |
10 |
17:43 |
17:51 |
17:13 |
17:07 |
17:55 |
17:12 |
17:22 |
17:25 |
18:13 |
18:10 |
18:09 |
|
| 543 |
James Rice |
10 |
17:45 |
17:56 |
17:12 |
17:21 |
17:35 |
|
|
18:20 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
| 561 |
Vasidy Bender |
12 |
17:48 |
18:17 |
17:51 |
17:50 |
17:39 |
17:39 |
17:32 |
17:44 |
18:22 |
|
|
|
| 616 |
David Jackson |
12 |
17:53 |
18:19 |
17:26 |
17:16 |
17:33 |
18:41 |
18:03 |
18:03 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
| 652 |
Abe Brown |
11 |
17:57 |
18:00 |
|
18:22 |
18:00 |
|
17:54 |
18:09 |
17:28 |
|
|
|
| 800 |
Matthew Zinkan |
10 |
18:12 |
17:46 |
18:18 |
17:57 |
17:59 |
18:10 |
18:00 |
18:23 |
18:22 |
|
|
|
| 1,156 |
Weston Matthews |
10 |
18:41 |
18:01 |
18:17 |
18:16 |
18:56 |
|
18:36 |
18:53 |
18:42 |
|
|
|
| 1,261 |
Kyler Pitkin |
9 |
18:50 |
|
18:38 |
|
18:55 |
|
19:12 |
18:54 |
18:26 |
|
|
|
| 1,291 |
Eli Wetzel |
12 |
18:51 |
|
18:48 |
18:34 |
19:05 |
|
18:46 |
18:25 |
19:28 |
|
|
|
| 1,317 |
Daniel Damico |
9 |
18:54 |
|
|
|
18:55 |
|
|
18:54 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
| 1,322 |
Everett Sherfick |
10 |
18:54 |
|
20:54 |
19:36 |
|
|
18:46 |
19:11 |
18:22 |
|
|
|
| 1,367 |
Jack Taylor |
10 |
18:57 |
18:29 |
18:29 |
18:27 |
19:03 |
|
18:45 |
19:04 |
19:27 |
|
|
|
| 1,380 |
Leonardo Vesperini |
12 |
18:58 |
|
19:28 |
|
|
|
18:57 |
19:05 |
18:37 |
|
|
|
|
Oliver Moore |
9 |
19:04 |
|
19:45 |
19:15 |
19:04 |
|
18:25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Zach Roberts |
9 |
19:21 |
|
19:45 |
19:17 |
19:12 |
|
18:59 |
19:15 |
19:43 |
|
|
|
|
Isaak Fogleman |
9 |
19:26 |
|
19:30 |
19:23 |
|
|
19:12 |
20:22 |
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
Maksium Knott |
10 |
19:40 |
|
20:03 |
|
|
|
19:01 |
19:53 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
7.0 |
243 |
|
|
|
4.7 |
12.6 |
21.9 |
22.9 |
20.0 |
14.5 |
3.1 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
72 |
|
99.4 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Chase Norris |
99.5% |
74.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
99.5% |
99.5% |
| Marshall Caldwell |
6.7% |
171.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.7% |
6.7% |
| Matt Stein |
0.1% |
194.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Luke Reinhart |
0.1% |
202.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Roman Ross |
0.0% |
183.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Chase Norris |
100% |
19.4 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
6.0 |
4.7 |
5.5 |
4.8 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Marshall Caldwell |
100% |
49.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Matt Stein |
100% |
63.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Luke Reinhart |
100% |
67.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Roman Ross |
100% |
70.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Isaiah Dilger |
100% |
72.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Garrett Pitkin |
100% |
82.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Chase Norris |
5.8 |
0.3 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
17.5 |
13.7 |
15.5 |
15.6 |
13.2 |
13.7 |
3.9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Marshall Caldwell |
11.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
6.5 |
28.8 |
19.4 |
14.5 |
10.4 |
7.6 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Matt Stein |
16.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.3 |
4.6 |
7.0 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
10.3 |
11.4 |
11.5 |
11.2 |
9.0 |
6.2 |
3.7 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
| Luke Reinhart |
18.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.9 |
3.6 |
6.3 |
7.2 |
8.5 |
10.8 |
11.6 |
11.4 |
11.3 |
9.4 |
7.4 |
5.0 |
3.2 |
1.5 |
| Roman Ross |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.7 |
4.8 |
6.6 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
11.2 |
11.8 |
11.8 |
10.4 |
7.7 |
5.4 |
3.0 |
| Isaiah Dilger |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
6.6 |
8.5 |
11.1 |
12.2 |
12.1 |
12.5 |
10.4 |
7.5 |
4.4 |
| Garrett Pitkin |
23.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
5.6 |
7.5 |
11.8 |
15.8 |
16.1 |
17.5 |
|
